Investment principles (mental models)
- The market is fairly efficient. The best way to exploit limited opportunities and to leverage investment acumen is to concentrate bets.
- Alpha is elusive. It requires constant diligence and flexibility to consistently outperform benchmarks.
- Valuation theory is valuable. Although valuation disparities may occur for shorter periods of time, stocks migrate to intrinsic value over longer periods of time.
- Stock picking is the most effective strategy to outperform over the long-term.
- Mid caps are a very attractive universe for stock picking.
- Long-term thinking helps filter out short-term noise. It provides a greater “signal-to-noise” ratio.
- The future is indeterminate. We don’t know what is going to happen for sure, nor does anyone else. We can assess probabilities, however, and manage the distribution of potential outcomes.
- Culture is critical to sustainable, long-term, organizational success.
Masthead photo source: 2005 NASA